COMMODITIES VIEW

USCoralSea · #1 September 22nd, 2009, 07:46 AM

Market Pick 9 / 22

These posted calls apply only to longer term trading daily charts, not for trading intra day charts. I retired December 2005 but the hypothetical calls are still based on my trading methods taught in the course as I traded with real money, The methods are as valid today as they were then. All calls are in advance of the market moves.

I want to demonstrate how my trading methods can reap consistent profits. I will be using a 5 contract demonstration. I will up date the profit and loss that could be potentially made with my trading methods on a monthly time period excluding slippage. One can us a 2% slippage loss but using a stop with limit orders can reduce one's slippage greatly. All contracts will have a profit stop of $150. per contract (my commission rate when trading before I retired was $15. R/T) I realize many do have that luxury. This can be achieved in time with multiple contracts, a deep discount broker and when you can use professional trading orders.

All post are dated. If any of them or removed it is because I would I have cancel the trade. This will keep the list shorter. F = Filled, C = Cancel. A profitable trade

Stopped out with loss

All positions or based on 5 futures contracts....

Win / Loss Ratio Up Date: 3/09 - 8/31 - 164 trades: 116 Wins 48 Loses 71 % win ratio

Market Pick 9/22 - F-Cattle , S/Franc

Grains:

9/21 Soybeans - sell - F + $750.
9/21 Bean Meal - sell - F + $750.
9/17 Wheat - sell

9/09, 11 Soybeans - sell - F

stopped out on last 2 contracts at or near break even
9/09, 11 Bean Meal - sell - F

9/09, 11, 15 Bean Oil - sell - F

first profits hit then stopped out small loss.
8/28, 31 Soybeans - buy

8/18, 19, 25 Wheat - sell - F

8/10, 11 Bean Oil - buy - F

7/27 Corn - sell - F

7/21, 23 Soybeans - sell - F

7/21, 23 Bean Meal - sell - F

7/20, 21 Corn - sell - F

7/13, 17 Soybeans - sell - F

7/13 Bean Meal - sell - F

7/07 Corn - sell - F

7/06 Bean Oil - sell - F

7/06 Wheat - sell - F

6/30 Soybeans - sell - F

6/29 Corn - sell - F

6/29, 30 Bean Oil - sell - F

6/12 Bean Oil - sell - F

6/01, 4 Soybeans - buy - F

6/01 Bean Meal - buy - F

Meats:

9/22 F-Cattle - sell

9/11, 15, 16 L-Hogs - buy - F

last 2 contracts out just above break even on yesterdays close. Market is stalling last 3 days having trouble breaking throw the 54.15 area daily natural resistance. Will try again above 54.15 break out.
9/08 L-Hogs - buy - F

8/28 L-Hogs - buy - F

8/28 F-Cattle sell - F

8/11 L-Hogs - sell - F

8/10, 11 F-Cattle - sell - F

7/13, 15 F-Cattle - buy - F

7/07, 9 L-Hogs - buy - F

7/06 F-Cattle - buy - F

6/25, 29 F-Cattle - buy - F

Soft's / Misc:

9/21 Cocoa - buy

9/10, 11 Cocoa - buy - F

stopped out last 2 contracts at or near break even.
8/24, 28 Sugar - buy at 23.35 - F

8/19, 20, 21 Sugar - buy - F

8/11 Sugar - buy - F

8/10 OJ - buy - F

8/03 Sugar - buy - F

8/03 OJ - sell - F

At or near break even
7/30 Coffee - buy - F

7/29 Cotton - sell - F

7/29 OJ - sell - F

7/27, 28 Coffee - buy - F

7/21, 23, 29 Cocoa - buy - F

7/20, 22 Cotton - buy - F

7/06, 14 Sugar - buy - F

7/02, 6 Coffee - buy - C or sell - F

6/29, 30 OJ, - sell - F

6/25, 29 Cotton - sell - F

.
6/22 OJ - sell - F

6/19, 22, 23 Sugar - sell - F

6/19, 22, 24 Cotton - sell - F

6/17 Sugar - sell - F

6/17, 18 Cotton - sell - F

Metals:

9/18 Gold - buy
9/18 Silver - buy
9/18 Platinum - buy

9/16 Platinum - buy - F

9/09, 11 Gold - buy - F

stopped out on last 2 contracts at or near break even.
9/09, 11 Silver - buy - F

8/ 25, 28, 31 Copper - buy - F

8/10, 13 Silver - buy - F

8/10, 13, 17 Platinum - buy - F

8/07, 10 Copper - buy - F

8/03 Silver - buy - F

7/27, 28 Gold - buy - F

7/21, 23 Gold - buy - F

7/20, 22 Copper - buy - F

7/07, 8 Gold - sell - F

7/07, 8 Platinum - sell - F

7/07, 8 Silver - sell - F

7/01 Silver - sell - F

6/29, 7/01 Platinum - sell - F

6/19, 22 Copper - sell

6/17 Platinum - sell - F

6/16, 22 Gold - sell - F

Energies

9/14 Gasoline - sell - F

9/11 Heating Oil - sell - F

stopped out on last 2 contracts at or near break even
8/28 Nat. Gas - sell - F

8/18 Nat. Gas - sell - F

7/13, 15 Unleaded Gas - sell - F

7/07, 8 Crude Oil - sell - F

7/07, 8 Unleaded Gas - sell - F

6/15, 18, 19 Crude Oil - buy - F

6/15, 16, 19 Heating Oil - buy - F

Currencies:

9/22 S/Franc - buy
9/21 US $ - sell
9/18 Euro FX - buy
9/18 Aust. $ - buy

9/16 US $ - sell - F
9/11 Aust. $ - buy - F

9/11 Can. $ - buy at 95064 or sell at 88926

9/10 Euro FX - buy - F

9/09 US $ - sell - F

9/08 Yen - buy - F

8/26, 9/01 B/Pound - sell - F

8/31 Yen - buy - F

8/17, 9/08 S/Franc - buy at 9564 - F
8/13, 14 Aust. $ buy - F

7/30 Yen - sell - F

7/10, 13, 14 Aust. $ - sell - F

7/07, 8 Yen - buy - F

7/06, 8 Can. $ - sell - F

6/25 Can. $ - sell - F

6/19, 22, 24 Can. $ - sell - F

6/17, 22, 23 Euro FX - sell - F

6/17, 22 Can. $ - sell - F

6/01 Yen - buy - F

Financial's / Indexes:

9/18, 22 S&P 500 - buy - F +$750.

9/11, 14 T-Bonds - buy - F

Stopped out on last 2 contracts at or near break even.
8/31, 9/02, 9/04 T-Bonds - buy - F

8/27, 28, 9/04 T-Bonds - buy - F

8/27, 9/01 Eurodollar - buy - F

last two contracts at break even.
8/26 T-Bonds - buy - F

8/25, 8/31 S&P 500 - buy - F

8/18 T-Bonds - buy - F

8/18, 20 Eurodollar - buy - F

8/11, 14 DJIA - buy - F

8/06, 7 DJIA - buy - F

8/06 S&P 500 - buy - F
8/03 S&P 500 - buy - F

7/29, 30 S&P 500 - buy - F

7/07, 8 S&P 500 - sell - F

7/07, 8 Eurodollar - buy F

7/01, 2 T-Bonds - buy - F

6/25, 7/02 S&P 500 - sell - F

6/25 T-Bonds - buy - F

6/19, 22 S&P 500 - sell - F

6/19, 22 DJIA - sell - F

6/01 DJIA - buy - F

30 year T-Bond option (5 options per trade) strategy for 9 Months Trading 2007 / 2008

June T-Bond Option Strategy P/L...+ $ 9,603.
July T-Bond Option Strategy P/L....+ $ 8,047.
Aug. T-Bond Option Strategy P/L......- ($390.)
Sept. T-bond Option Strategy P/L...+ $ 13,378.
Oct. T-Bond Option Strategy P/L....- ($ 1,504.)
Nov. T-Bond Option Strategy P/L....+ $ 17,870.
Dec. T-Bond Option Strategy P/L.....+ $ 8,999.
Jan. T-Bonds Option strategy P/L....+ $ 5,308.
Feb T-Bonds Option Strategy P/L.....+ $ 6,716.
P/L for 9 months...+ $ 68,027.

This is probably one of the easiest option strategies one can do with options almost daily. Easy to put on and exit. Very easy to learn and simple to do. It works because of momentum building on momentum. E mail me for information concerning the T-Bond option strategy.

Stop Loss Placement:

One of the reasons I don't include stops in my Market Pick is because I believe that is one area where the only person who can determine the amount of acceptable risk is the person taking the risk. And probably if you were to just view the Market Picks without knowing my reasons for the entry, My methods for position maintenance and exits, it might not make sense.

Market Pick is about my methods of finding markets and when I would consider it a buy or sell, from there you can determine was it a good call and using your stop loss and profit ideas, how could you have done.

In my trading course I explain a few different methods used to place stops. But I leave it up to you to decide which method is best for you. Whether you use a risk-reward ratio, a specific dollar amount, the average prices from preceding sessions, or what your wife tells you is the limit, the amount you're willing to risk before pulling the plug is a personal decision. Larry Williams once said, when asked about stops, he didn't like to lose more than $1000 per trade. Well, gee, thanks Larry. Larry's acceptable risk is not the same as mine.

My method of trading is in itself a form of risk control because if you adhere strictly to what I teach, you will stay out of a lot bad trades. The hard part of doing that is when the market looks really strong and there are no entry signals. That can make you crazy. But, over the long haul, it can also save you a lot of grief.

But the common theme running through the course is one of risk management, and everything I explain is designed to trade with a minimum of risk. I would have to say that my course will teach you a lot about what not to do to stay out of trouble. I also teach profit objectives, where I might take profits and how I trail my stops.Your idea of a profit objective may be different than mine and that is ok, but always use some sort of risk control when entering a position.

Market Pick and my trading course showing you were to enter are based on my trading system and chart patterns strategically placed to enter trades with a high probability of being right the market.

Since 1996 by request from many traders new and old hands at trading I was ask to post my trades at that time on AOL Commodity forum board. I did and it soon turned into my E mail service called Market Pick, posting my trades and offering my trading course. I believe you will enjoy watching the markets after the market opens.

Send me a E mail for information on my trading course called "The Art Of Trading"

These trades are posted for your observation and not for recommendations to trade. There is risk in trading futures.

To see customers comments go here http://www.wfaa.us/coral

Happy trading.

USCoralSea

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